| dc.contributor.author | Mitkov, Atanas | |
| dc.contributor.author | Noorzad, Najmuddin | |
| dc.contributor.author | Gabrovska-Evstatieva, Katerina | |
| dc.contributor.author | Mihailov, Nicolay | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2020-11-20T14:43:12Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2020-11-20T14:43:12Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2019 | |
| dc.identifier.isbn | 978-1-7281-1413-2 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12809/1161 | |
| dc.description | 16th Conference on Electrical Machines, Drives and Power Systems (ELMA) - JUN 06-08, 2019 - Varna, BULGARIA | en_US |
| dc.description | WOS: 000493393400130 | en_US |
| dc.description.abstract | The forecasting of the energy demand has a crucial role in the long-term development of the electrical network and power management. In this study, the energy consumption in the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan has been investigated, in order to evaluate the expected change in the following years. The linear model ARIMA(1,1,1) has been selected for the situation and statistical analysis has been performed. The obtained results showed that the energy demand is expected to continue its increase and by the end of 2024, it should be in the range from 4391 GWh to 8375 GWh anually. The obtained information could be used for mid- and long-term planning of the electrical network development and the energy production in the country. | en_US |
| dc.description.sponsorship | Union Elect Elect Engn & Telecommunicat, IEEE Bulgaria Sect | en_US |
| dc.description.sponsorship | University of Ruse Research Fund [2019-RU-02] | en_US |
| dc.description.sponsorship | This work was supported by the University of Ruse Research Fund under contract no 2019-RU-02 "Development of methods and tools for adapting the engineering education to Industry 4.0". | en_US |
| dc.item-language.iso | eng | en_US |
| dc.publisher | Ieee | en_US |
| dc.item-rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess | en_US |
| dc.subject | Electrical Consumption | en_US |
| dc.subject | Forecast | en_US |
| dc.subject | ARIMA Model | en_US |
| dc.title | Forecasting the Energy Consumption in Afghanistan with the ARIMA Model | en_US |
| dc.item-type | conferenceObject | en_US |
| dc.contributor.department | MÜ, Mühendislik Fakültesi, Elektrik Elektronik Mühendisliği Bölümü | en_US |
| dc.contributor.institutionauthor | Noorzad, Najmuddin | |
| dc.relation.journal | 2019 16Th Conference on Electrical Machines, Drives and Power Systems (Elma) | en_US |
| dc.relation.publicationcategory | Konferans Öğesi - Uluslararası - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı | en_US |
